Dr Nicola PerraReader in Applied MathematicsEmail: n.perra@qmul.ac.ukRoom Number: MB-G26ProfileResearchPublicationsProfileNicola is a Reader in Applied Mathematics at the School of Mathematical Science. His research focuses on human dynamics, data analytics, network science, mathematical and digital epidemiology. After completing his PhD in theoretical physics at the University of Cagliari (Italy), he held various positions at Indiana University, Northeastern University, and Greenwich University. For Nicola's personal webpage, please visit http://www.nicolaperra.com/ResearchResearch Interests:See Nicola Perra’s research profile pages including details of research interests, publications, and live grants.Publications Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Davis JT et al. (2024). Real-time estimates of the emergence and dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: A modeling approach Epidemics nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100805 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/102085 Gozzi N, Comini N, Perra N (publicationYear). Bridging the digital divide: mapping Internet connectivity evolution, inequalities, and resilience in six Brazilian cities EPJ Data Science nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjds/s13688-024-00508-8 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/102362 Manna A, D'Amico L, Tizzoni M et al. (2024). Generalized Contact Matrices Allow Integrating Socio-economic Variables into Epidemic Models Science Advances nameOfConference. 10.1126/sciadv.adk4606 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/99436 Gozzi N, Comini N, Perra N (2024). Bridging the Digital Divide: Mapping Internet Connectivity Evolution, Inequalities, and Resilience in six Brazilian Cities journal nameOfConference. 10.48550/arxiv.2406.01113 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/101235 Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Y Piontti AP et al. (2024). A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US Epidemics nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100757 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/95145 Carli F, Foini P, Gozzi N et al. (publicationYear). Modeling teams performance using deep representational learning on graphs EPJ Data Science nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00442-1 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/94163 Gao S, Dai X, Wang L et al. (2023). Epidemic Spreading in Metapopulation Networks Coupled With Awareness Propagation IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics nameOfConference. 10.1109/tcyb.2022.3198732 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/80498 Sun K, Ubaldi E, Zhang J et al. (2023). The Effects of Local and Global Link Creation Mechanisms on Contagion Processes Unfolding on Time-Varying Networks journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-031-30399-9_16 qmroHref De Gaetano A, Bajardi P, Gozzi N et al. (publicationYear). Behavioral Changes Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination: Cross-National Online Survey Journal of Medical Internet Research nameOfConference. 10.2196/47563 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/91420 Jaramillo AM, Williams HTP, Perra N et al. (publicationYear). The structure of segregation in co-authorship networks and its impact on scientific production EPJ Data Science nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00411-8 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/90811 Di Bona G, Bracci A, Perra N et al. (publicationYear). The concept of decentralization through time and disciplines: a quantitative exploration EPJ Data Science nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00418-1 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/90809 Chernikova A, Gozzi N, Perra N et al. (publicationYear). Modeling self-propagating malware with epidemiological models Applied Network Science nameOfConference. 10.1007/s41109-023-00578-z https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/90355 Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Dean NE et al. (2023). Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine inequities: a modeling study Nature Communications nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41467-023-39098-w https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/88724 Gozzi N, Comini N, Perra N (2023). The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El Salvador EPJ Data Science nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00395-5 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/88787 Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Dean NE et al. (publicationYear). Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine allocation inequities: a modeling study journal nameOfConference. 10.1101/2022.11.18.22282514 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/101232 Bracci A, Boehnke J, ElBahrawy A et al. (2022). Macroscopic properties of buyer-seller networks in online marketplaces PNAS Nexus nameOfConference. 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac201 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/82331 Chernikova A, Gozzi N, Boboila S et al. (2022). Cyber Network Resilience Against Self-Propagating Malware Attacks journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-031-17140-6_26 qmroHref Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Davis JT et al. (publicationYear). Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Italy PLOS Computational Biology nameOfConference. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010146 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78923 Perra N, Tizzoni M, Nsoesie E et al. (2022). Addressing the socioeconomic divide in computational modeling for infectious diseases Nature Communications nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41467-022-30688-8 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78558 Gozzi N, Comini N, Perra N (2022). The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El Salvador journal nameOfConference. 10.48550/arxiv.2202.12088 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/101234 Briand SC, Cinelli M, Nguyen T et al. (2021). Infodemics: A new challenge for public health Cell nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.cell.2021.10.031 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78924 Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Perra N et al. (2021). Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave Nature nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41586-021-04130-w https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78925 Cronin B, Perra N, Rocha LEC et al. (2021). Ethical implications of network data in business and management settings Social Networks nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.socnet.2020.09.001 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/81400 Gozzi N, Bajardi P, Perra N (publicationYear). The importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 vaccine rollout PLOS Computational Biology nameOfConference. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009346 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78926 Gozzi N, Scudeler M, Paolotti D et al. (2021). Self-initiated behavioral change and disease resurgence on activity-driven networks Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.104.014307 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/81378 Gozzi N, Tizzoni M, Chinazzi M et al. (publicationYear). Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile Nature Communications nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41467-021-22601-6 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78922 Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Perra N et al. (publicationYear). Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave in Europe and the United States journal nameOfConference. 10.1101/2021.03.24.21254199 https://qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/101233 Perra N (2021). Non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review Physics Reports nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.physrep.2021.02.001 https://uat2-qmro.qmul.ac.uk/xmlui/handle/123456789/78927 Gozzi N, Tizzani M, Starnini M et al. (publicationYear). Collective Response to Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and Wikipedia: Mixed-Methods Analysis Journal of Medical Internet Research nameOfConference. 10.2196/21597 qmroHref Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Perra N et al. (publicationYear). Estimating the establishment of local transmission and the cryptic phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA journal nameOfConference. 10.1101/2020.07.06.20140285 qmroHref Gozzi N, Perrotta D, Paolotti D et al. (publicationYear). Towards a data-driven characterization of behavioral changes induced by the seasonal flu PLOS Computational Biology nameOfConference. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007879 qmroHref Davis JT, Perra N, Zhang Q et al. (2020). Phase transitions in information spreading on structured populations Nature Physics nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41567-020-0810-3 qmroHref Sun K, Ubaldi E, Zhang J et al. (2019). The Effects of Local and Global Link Creation Mechanisms on Contagion Processes Unfolding on Time-Varying Networks journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-030-23495-9_16 qmroHref Aleta A, Meloni S, Perra N et al. (2019). Explore with caution: mapping the evolution of scientific interest in physics EPJ Data Science nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjds/s13688-019-0205-9 qmroHref Brett T, Loukas G, Moreno Y et al. (2019). Spreading of computer viruses on time-varying networks Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.99.050303 qmroHref Perra N, Rocha LEC (publicationYear). Modelling opinion dynamics in the age of algorithmic personalisation Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41598-019-43830-2 qmroHref Pastore y Piontti A, Perra N, Rossi L et al. (2019). Charting the Next Pandemic, Modeling Infectious Disease Spreading in the Data Science Age journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-319-93290-3 qmroHref Liu Q-H, Xiong X, Zhang Q et al. (2018). Epidemic spreading on time-varying multiplex networks Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.98.062303 qmroHref Weng L, Karsai M, Perra N et al. (2018). Attention on Weak Ties in Social and Communication Networks journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-319-77332-2_12 qmroHref Nadini M, Sun K, Ubaldi E et al. (publicationYear). Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x qmroHref Massaro E, Ganin A, Perra N et al. (publicationYear). Resilience management during large-scale epidemic outbreaks Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/s41598-018-19706-2 qmroHref Brownstein JS, Chu S, Marathe A et al. (publicationYear). Combining Participatory Influenza Surveillance with Modeling and Forecasting: Three Alternative Approaches JMIR Public Health and Surveillance nameOfConference. 10.2196/publichealth.7344 qmroHref Pozzana I, Sun K, Perra N (2017). Epidemic spreading on activity-driven networks with attractiveness Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.96.042310 qmroHref Karsai M, Perra N (2017). Control Strategies of Contagion Processes in Time-Varying Networks journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-981-10-5287-3_8 qmroHref Alessandretti L, Sun K, Baronchelli A et al. (2017). Random walks on activity-driven networks with attractiveness Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.95.052318 qmroHref Ubaldi E, Vezzani A, Karsai M et al. (publicationYear). Burstiness and tie activation strategies in time-varying social networks Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep46225 qmroHref Zhang Q, Perra N, Perrotta D et al. (2017). Forecasting Seasonal Influenza Fusing Digital Indicators and a Mechanistic Disease Model journal Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web. 10.1145/3038912.3052678 qmroHref Bajardi P, Poletto C, Balcan D et al. (2009). Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere Emerging Health Threats Journal nameOfConference. 10.3402/ehtj.v2i0.7093 qmroHref Wang Z, Bauch CT, Bhattacharyya S et al. (2016). Statistical physics of vaccination Physics Reports nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.physrep.2016.10.006 qmroHref Ubaldi E, Perra N, Karsai M et al. (publicationYear). Asymptotic theory of time-varying social networks with heterogeneous activity and tie allocation Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep35724 qmroHref Perra N (2016). The spreading of infectious diseases in modern socio-technical systems Comment on “Pattern transitions in spatial epidemics: Mechanisms and emergent properties” by Gui-Quan Sun et al. Physics of Life Reviews nameOfConference. 10.1016/j.plrev.2016.09.009 qmroHref Biggerstaff M, Alper D, Dredze M et al. (2016). Results from the centers for disease control and prevention’s predict the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Challenge BMC Infectious Diseases nameOfConference. 10.1186/s12879-016-1669-x qmroHref Borge-Holthoefer J, Perra N, Gonçalves B et al. (2016). The dynamics of information-driven coordination phenomena: A transfer entropy analysis Science Advances nameOfConference. 10.1126/sciadv.1501158 qmroHref Sun K, Baronchelli A, Perra N (2015). Contrasting effects of strong ties on SIR and SIS processes in temporal networks The European Physical Journal B nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjb/e2015-60568-4 qmroHref Garcia D, Halegoua G, Mejova Y et al. (2015). Reports of the 2015 Workshops Held at the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media AI Magazine nameOfConference. 10.1609/aimag.v36i4.2619 qmroHref Tizzoni M, Sun K, Benusiglio D et al. (publicationYear). The Scaling of Human Contacts and Epidemic Processes in Metapopulation Networks Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep15111 qmroHref Mistry D, Zhang Q, Perra N et al. (2015). Committed activists and the reshaping of status-quo social consensus Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.92.042805 qmroHref Zhang Q, Gioannini C, Paolotti D et al. (2015). Social Data Mining and Seasonal Influenza Forecasts: The FluOutlook Platform Lecture Notes in Computer Science nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-319-23461-8_21 qmroHref Perra N, Gonçalves B (2015). Modeling and Predicting Human Infectious Diseases journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-319-14011-7_4 qmroHref Dunne C, Muller M, Perra N et al. (2015). VoroGraph journal Proceedings of the 33rd Annual ACM Conference Extended Abstracts on Human Factors in Computing Systems. 10.1145/2702613.2725459 qmroHref Gonçalves B, Perra N (2015). Introduction journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-319-14011-7_1 qmroHref Gonçalves B, Karsai M, Perra N (2015). Preface AAAI Workshop - Technical Report nameOfConference. doi qmroHref Gonçalves B, Perra N (2015). Social phenomena: From data analysis to models journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-3-319-14011-7 qmroHref Tomasello MV, Perra N, Tessone CJ et al. (publicationYear). The role of endogenous and exogenous mechanisms in the formation of R&D networks Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep05679 qmroHref Ciulla F, Perra N, Baronchelli A et al. (2014). Damage detection via shortest-path network sampling Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.89.052816 qmroHref PIONTTI APY, DA COSTA GOMES MF, SAMAY N et al. (2014). The infection tree of global epidemics Network Science nameOfConference. 10.1017/nws.2014.5 qmroHref Liu S, Perra N, Karsai M et al. (2014). Controlling Contagion Processes in Activity Driven Networks Physical Review Letters nameOfConference. 10.1103/physrevlett.112.118702 qmroHref Karsai M, Perra N, Vespignani A (publicationYear). Time varying networks and the weakness of strong ties Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep04001 qmroHref Ribeiro B, Perra N, Baronchelli A (publicationYear). Quantifying the effect of temporal resolution on time-varying networks Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep03006 qmroHref Gonçalves B, Perra N, Vespignani A (2013). Social Networks, Contagion Processes and the Spreading of Infectious Diseases journal nameOfConference. 10.1016/B978-0-12-385944-0.00027-7 qmroHref Weng L, Ratkiewicz J, Perra N et al. (2013). The role of information diffusion in the evolution of social networks journal Proceedings of the 19th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining. 10.1145/2487575.2487607 qmroHref Mocanu D, Baronchelli A, Perra N et al. (2013). The Twitter of Babel: Mapping World Languages through Microblogging Platforms PLOS ONE nameOfConference. 10.1371/journal.pone.0061981 qmroHref Zhang Q, Perra N, Gonçalves B et al. (2013). Characterizing scientific production and consumption in Physics Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep01640 qmroHref Liu S-Y, Baronchelli A, Perra N (2013). Contagion dynamics in time-varying metapopulation networks Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.87.032805 qmroHref Gonçalves B, Perra N, Vespignani A (2013). Chapter 27 Social Networks, Contagion Processes and the Spreading of Infectious Diseases journal nameOfConference. 10.1016/b978-0-12-385944-0.00027-7 qmroHref Tizzoni M, Bajardi P, Poletto C et al. (2012). Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm BMC Medicine nameOfConference. 10.1186/1741-7015-10-165 qmroHref Perra N, Baronchelli A, Mocanu D et al. (2012). Random Walks and Search in Time-Varying Networks Physical Review Letters nameOfConference. 10.1103/physrevlett.109.238701 qmroHref Perra N, Vespignani A (2013). Modeling Contact and Mobility Based Social Response to the Spreading of Infectious Diseases journal nameOfConference. 10.1007/978-1-4614-5474-8_7 qmroHref Ciulla F, Mocanu D, Baronchelli A et al. (2012). Beating the news using social media: the case study of American Idol EPJ Data Science nameOfConference. 10.1140/epjds8 qmroHref Perra N, Gonçalves B, Pastor-Satorras R et al. (2012). Activity driven modeling of time varying networks Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep00469 qmroHref Meloni S, Perra N, Arenas A et al. (2011). Modeling human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of infectious diseases Scientific Reports nameOfConference. 10.1038/srep00062 qmroHref Gonçalves B, Perra N, Vespignani A (2011). Modeling Users' Activity on Twitter Networks: Validation of Dunbar's Number PLOS ONE nameOfConference. 10.1371/journal.pone.0022656 qmroHref Perra N, Balcan D, Gonçalves B et al. (2011). Towards a Characterization of Behavior-Disease Models PLOS ONE nameOfConference. 10.1371/journal.pone.0023084 qmroHref Balcan D, Colizza V, Singer AC et al. (publicationYear). Modeling the critical care demand and antibiotics resources needed during the Fall 2009 wave of influenza A(H1N1) pandemic PLOS Currents nameOfConference. 10.1371/currents.rrn1133 qmroHref Perra N, Zlatić V, Chessa A et al. (2009). PageRank equation and localization in the WWW EPL (Europhysics Letters) nameOfConference. 10.1209/0295-5075/88/48002 qmroHref Colizza V, Vespignani A, Perra N et al. (publicationYear). Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model PLOS Currents nameOfConference. 10.1371/currents.rrn1129 qmroHref Balcan D, Hu H, Goncalves B et al. (2009). Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility BMC Medicine nameOfConference. 10.1186/1741-7015-7-45 qmroHref Perra N, Fortunato S (2008). Spectral centrality measures in complex networks Physical Review E nameOfConference. 10.1103/physreve.78.036107 qmroHref Bajardi P, Poletto C, Balcan D et al. (2009). Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere Emerging Health Threats Journal nameOfConference. 10.3134/ehtj.09.011 qmroHref